PGR

2025Q3BMO

Progressive Corp primary · FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY

Report 2025-10-15 · Fiscal end 2025-09-30 · Features as of 2025-10-14

← Earnings history

Pre-Earnings Data

Expectations & setup

Street

Consensus EPS5.05
Consensus rev—
EPS high—
EPS low—
Dispersion—
Analysts—
EPS rev net 7d—
EPS rev net 30d—
Consensus Δ 7d—
Consensus Δ 30d—

Options

Implied move2.8%
IV front—
P/C full—
P/C front—
Features as of2025-10-14

Run-up

Close—
Ret 5d-1.4%
Ret 10d-2.7%
Ret 20d-1.9%
Ret 30d-2.2%

Post-Earnings Data

Results & reaction

Print

Actual EPS
4.05Miss
Estimated EPS5.05
Actual revenue
22.5B
Surprise %-19.8%
Beat / missMiss
Beat streak 40
Beat streak 80

Reaction

1-day stock reaction+0.2%
Implied vs actual

Implied 2.8%Actual 5.9%

Gap reaction-5.9%
Day result-5.8%
Next-day upYes
Realized / IV2.13×

Post tape

Post 5d-1.7%
Post 10d-8.2%
Post volume11.5M
Vol ×10d4.20×
Vol ×20d3.90×
Post range5.7%